From AI-Enabled Weapons to AI-Orchestrated Warfare
The Emerging Global Military AI Stack in 2026
- Wu, Shaoyuan
Global AI Governance and Policy Research Center, EPINOVA LLC
https://orcid.org/0009-0008-0660-8232
Description
This policy brief examines the transition from AI-enabled weapons to AI-orchestrated warfare. It argues that the main unit of military AI competition is shifting from individual models or weapons to a broader military AI stack that integrates compute, trusted data, models, command platforms, sensors, weapons, autonomous systems, and allied networks. The brief identifies seven stack layers—energy and compute, data and models, integration and digital environments, command decision support, firepower orchestration, edge autonomy, and alliance governance—and compares major pathways across the United States, NATO, China, U.S. allies, Ukraine, Russia, and Israel. It concludes that the most consequential effect of military AI is decision compression: AI can shape what commanders see, how threats are ranked, which options appear feasible, and how quickly decisions must be made, even when humans retain formal authorization.
Abstract
Military artificial intelligence is entering a new phase. Public debate has often focused on AI-enabled weapons such as autonomous drones, machine-vision targeting, loitering munitions, and robotic platforms. Those systems remain important, but the principal direction of change is toward AI-orchestrated warfare: the integration of compute, military data, models, command platforms, sensors, weapons, autonomous systems, and allied networks into a continuously operating warfighting architecture. This brief introduces a seven-layer military AI stack covering energy and compute, data and models, integration and digital environments, command decision support, firepower orchestration, edge autonomy, and alliance governance. It compares pathways visible in the United States, NATO, China, Japan, South Korea, the United Kingdom, Germany, Ukraine, Russia, and Israel. The central strategic effect of the stack is decision compression. AI can compress information, decision time, organizational processes, choices, and operational sequences even when humans retain formal command authority. Military AI governance should therefore move beyond a narrow focus on fully autonomous weapons and cover decision-support platforms, target-generation systems, model updates, data provenance, supplier dependence, review time, human override, and degraded operations.
Files
Mobile browsers may not display embedded PDF previews reliably. Open the PDF directly for the best reading experience.
Open PDF Download PDF| Name | Type | |
|---|---|---|
| From AI-Enabled Weapons to AI-Orchestrated Warfare The Emerging Global Military AI Stack in 2026.pdf Full-text PDF of the policy brief | application/pdf | Download |
Keywords
- military AI
- AI-orchestrated warfare
- AI-enabled weapons
- military AI stack
- decision compression
- energy and compute
- data and models
- digital environments
- command decision support
- firepower orchestration
- edge autonomy
- alliance governance
- Maven Smart System
- MSS NATO
- JADC2
- kill web
- mosaic warfare
- autonomous systems
- target production
- human control
- meaningful human control
- military AI governance
- AI assurance
- interoperability
- data sovereignty
- platform dependence
- Ukraine DELTA
- China system-of-systems
- Japan defense AI
- South Korea defense AI
- Israel targeting systems
- EPINOVA
Subjects
- Military artificial intelligence
- Strategic studies
- Defense technology
- Command and control
- Military operations
- Autonomous systems
- AI governance
- Alliance interoperability
- International security
- Cyber and information conflict
- Defense acquisition
- Public policy
Recommended citation
Wu, S. (2026). From AI-enabled weapons to AI-orchestrated warfare: The emerging global military AI stack in 2026 (Policy Brief No. EPINOVA–2026–PB–69). Global AI Governance and Policy Research Center, EPINOVA LLC. https://doi.org/10.67037/epinova.pb.2026.069
APA citation
Wu, S. (2026). From AI-enabled weapons to AI-orchestrated warfare: The emerging global military AI stack in 2026. EPINOVA Policy Brief Series, EPINOVA-PB-2026-069. Global AI Governance and Policy Research Center, EPINOVA LLC. https://doi.org/10.67037/epinova.pb.2026.069.
Alternate identifiers
| Scheme | Identifier | Description |
|---|---|---|
| URL | https://epinova.org/policy-brief-1 | Official EPINOVA publication page |
| EPINOVA policy brief number | EPINOVA–2026–PB–69 | Policy brief number printed in the PDF |
| File name | From AI-Enabled Weapons to AI-Orchestrated Warfare The Emerging Global Military AI Stack in 2026.pdf | Source PDF file name |
| Analytical concept | Military AI stack | Seven-layer socio-technical framework for assessing military AI capacity formation, operational conversion, and governance |
| Analytical concept | AI-orchestrated warfare | Use of AI across technical and organizational layers to integrate information, rank options, allocate resources, coordinate units, sequence effects, and support reassessment |
| Analytical concept | Decision compression | Compression of information, decision time, organizations, choices, and operational sequences before formal authorization occurs |
Related works
| Relation | Identifier | Type | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| IsPartOf | https://epinova.org/policy-brief-1 | Publication series | EPINOVA Policy Brief Series |
| IsSupplementedBy | https://github.com/EPINOVALLC/EPINOVA-Research | Repository | Supplementary repository and structural archive |
References
- Baptista, E., & Potkin, F. (2025, October 27). How China could use DeepSeek and AI for an era of war. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/robot-dogs-ai-drone-swarms-how-china-could-use-deepseek-an-era-war-2025-10-27/
- Brave1. (2025, March 7). Brave1 tested drones with artificial intelligence [In Ukrainian]. https://market-brave1.delta.mil.gov.ua/brave1-proviv-vyprobuvannia-droniv-zi-shtuchnym-intelektom/
- British Army. (2026, June 23). RUSI Land Warfare Conference 2026: Chief of the General Staff keynote speech. https://www.army.mod.uk/news/rusi-lwc-2026-chief-of-the-general-staff-speech/
- Copp, T., Dwoskin, E., & Duncan, I. (2026, March 4). Anthropic’s AI tool Claude central to U.S. campaign in Iran, amid a bitter feud. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/03/04/anthropic-ai-iran-campaign/
- Global Times. (2026a, July 31). First-ever footage: PLA Army drone swarm conducts combat-oriented training exercise. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202607/1367268.shtml
- Global Times. (2026b, August 3). Official documentary reveals PLA Air Force intelligent strike-planning system; experts say it sharpens coordinated combat, shortens strike cycle. https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202608/1367381.shtml
- Israel Defense Forces. (2024, April 3). IDF use of AI and targeting practices: Response to the Guardian query published April 3, 2024. https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/israel-at-war/all-articles/idf-use-of-ai-and-targeting-practices-response-to-the-guardian-query-published-april-3-2024/
- Janes. (2026, June 30). Maven Smart System achieves full operating capability with NATO. https://www.janes.com/defence-intelligence-insights/defence-news/security/maven-smart-system-achieves-full-operating-capability-with-nato
- Japan Ministry of Defense. (2026a, February 13). Progress on the tactical AI satellite demonstration [In Japanese]. https://www.mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2026/02/13b.html
- Japan Ministry of Defense. (2026b, March 13). Real-time digital twin [In Japanese]. https://www.mod.go.jp/j/press/news/2026/03/13a.html
- Jeans, D. (2026, March 20). Pentagon to adopt Palantir AI as core U.S. military system, memo says. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-adopt-palantir-ai-as-core-us-military-system-memo-says-2026-03-20/
- Jiji Press. (2026, August 10). Japan mulls use of domestic AI in SDF command system. Nippon.com. https://www.nippon.com/en/news/yjj2026081000706/
- Kang, J.-e. (2026, May 14). SK Telecom, defense ministry team up to develop military AI model. Yonhap News Agency. https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260514006500320
- Lee, H. (2026, March 26). “Modern warfare is a data battle”: Korea to establish AX hubs, deploy AI command systems. Seoul Economic Daily. https://en.sedaily.com/politics/2026/03/26/modern-warfare-is-a-data-battle-korea-to-establish-ax-hubs
- McKernan, B., & Davies, H. (2024, April 3). “The machine did it coldly”: Israel used AI to identify 37,000 Hamas targets. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/03/israel-gaza-ai-database-hamas-airstrikes
- Ministry of Defence of Ukraine. (2025, October 28). DELTA: Basic training course in Army+. https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/delta-basic-training-course-in-army
- Ministry of Defence of Ukraine. (2026, March 9). Independent assessment confirms DELTA remains compliant with all cybersecurity standards after scaling. https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/independent-assessment-confirms-delta-remains-compliant-with-all-cybersecurity-standards-after-scaling
- NATO Communications and Information Agency. (2025, April 14). NATO acquires AI-enabled warfighting system. https://www.ncia.nato.int/newsroom/news/nato-acquires-aienabled-warfighting-system
- North Atlantic Treaty Organization. (2026, July 13). NATO’s DIANA selects innovators to drive decision superiority for the Alliance. https://www.nato.int/en/news-and-events/articles/news/2026/07/13/natos-diana-selects-innovators-to-drive-decision-superiority-for-the-alliance
- Preferred Networks. (2026, July 29). PFN awarded ATLA project to demonstrate operational-environment information-analysis support using generative AI [In Japanese]. https://www.preferred.jp/ja/news/1126
- Rostec. (2026, April 14). Rostec tested an attack drone swarming technology. https://elements.rostec.ru/en/media/news/rostec-tested-an-attack-drone-swarming-technology/
- Sabbagh, D. (2026, July 6). Israeli command system identified 850,000 targets in Gaza and Lebanon wars, says supplier. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jul/06/israel-command-system-identified-850000-targets-gaza-lebanon-war-supplier-elbit-systems
- Siebold, S. (2026, March 25). German army eyes AI tools to expedite wartime decision-making. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/technology/german-army-eyes-ai-tools-expedite-wartime-decision-making-2026-03-25/
- UK Ministry of Defence. (2026, June 10). Putting artificial intelligence (AI) at the heart of UK Defence. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/putting-artificial-intelligence-ai-at-the-heart-of-uk-defence
- United Nations General Assembly. (2025a, December 5). Artificial intelligence in the military domain and its implications for international peace and security (A/RES/80/58). United Nations Digital Library. https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/4095956
- United Nations General Assembly. (2025b, December 5). Lethal autonomous weapons systems (A/RES/80/57). United Nations Digital Library. https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/4095989
- United Nations General Assembly. (2025c, December 3). Possible risks of the integration of artificial intelligence into command, control and communications systems of nuclear weapons (A/RES/80/23). United Nations Digital Library. https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/4095461
- United Nations Office at Geneva. (2026). 2026 Group of Governmental Experts on emerging technologies in the area of lethal autonomous weapons systems, second session. https://indico.un.org/event/1019358/
- United Nations Office for Disarmament Affairs. (2026, June). Agenda: Informal exchanges on artificial intelligence in the military domain and its implications for international peace and security (Version 2). https://unodaweb-meetings.unoda.org/public/2026-06/Agenda%20vr2.pdf
- United Nations Secretary-General. (2025, May 12). Secretary-General’s video message to the informal consultations on lethal autonomous weapons systems. https://www.un.org/sg/en/content/sg/statements/2025-05-12/secretary-generals-video-message-the-informal-consultations-lethal-autonomous-weapons-systems
- United Press International. (2026, June 26). Japan weighs Palantir AI for SDF command operations. https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2026/06/26/japan-military AI-sdf/6241782510033/
- U.S. Army Communications and Outreach Office. (2026, March 26). Army reaches conditional agreement with private industry for hyperscaled data centers. https://www.army.mil/article/291360/army_reaches_conditional_agreement_with_private_industry_for_hyperscaled_data_centers